The Influence of Exchange Rate and Inflation on the Economic Growth in Bengkalis Regency
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Institusion
Politeknik Negeri Bengkalis
Author
Fajar, Nurul
Subject
561 Ekonomi Pembangunan
Datestamp
2024-07-11 09:18:20
Abstract :
Developing countries tend to experience inflation, a country with high and unstable inflation is a reflection of the instability of a country's economy. The purpose of this study was to analyze the effect of inflation and exchange rates partially and simultaneously on economic growth in Bengkalis Regency. The type of data required is the type of secondary data, which means that the data that has been finished or published is taken from BPS (Central Statistics Agency) Indonesia data and also Bengkalis in numbers with period 19 years (2003-2021). Data processing used the IBM SPSS version 25 application with multiple linier regression analysis testing which included T-test, F-test, and the Coefficient Determination (R^2). The results of this study indicate that: 1) Exchange Rate has a positive and significant effect on economic growth in Bengkalis Regency, 2) Inflation has a negative and significant effect on economic growth in Bengkalis Regency. Therefore, if the Exchange Rate increases, it will have a positive impact on economic growth, as well as inflation, if it increases, it will have a negative effect on economic growth in Bengkalis Regency, 3) the coefficient of determination (R^2) is 0.931. This means that exchange rate and inflation affect economic growth in Bengkalis regency by 93.1% while the remaining 6.9% is influenced by other variables not examined in this study.
Developing countries tend to experience inflation, a country with high and unstable inflation is a reflection of the instability of a country's economy. The purpose of this study was to analyze the effect of inflation and exchange rates partially and simultaneously on economic growth in Bengkalis Regency. The type of data required is the type of secondary data, which means that the data that has been finished or published is taken from BPS (Central Statistics Agency) Indonesia data and also Bengkalis in numbers with period 19 years (2003-2021). Data processing used the IBM SPSS version 25 application with multiple linier regression analysis testing which included T-test, F-test, and the Coefficient Determination (R^2). The results of this study indicate that: 1) Exchange Rate has a positive and significant effect on economic growth in Bengkalis Regency, 2) Inflation has a negative and significant effect on economic growth in Bengkalis Regency. Therefore, if the Exchange Rate increases, it will have a positive impact on economic growth, as well as inflation, if it increases, it will have a negative effect on economic growth in Bengkalis Regency, 3) the coefficient of determination (R^2) is 0.931. This means that exchange rate and inflation affect economic growth in Bengkalis regency by 93.1% while the remaining 6.9% is influenced by other variables not examined in this study.
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